WANITA YANG SUBUR PILIHAN LELAKI

Semasa berada di Indonesia awal Januaray ini, saya melihat aa dua suasana ketara di sepanjang jalan kota dan desa. Dikota Medan, wanitanya bergaya dena berjalan seorang diri, berpacaran atau bersama rakan dengan pakaian fesyen berbagai-bagai macam artis pun ada juga. Manakala di desanya pula, kebanyakan wanitanya berjalan dengan kain berselepang dibadan, mengendong bayi.Ini menunjukkan orang desa lebih subur dan suka melahirkan anak
Saya cuma berkata kepada rakan saya, mungkin sini aktiviti malam kurang, atau letrik nya kurang sempurna, meneyebabkan pasngan tidur awal. Hospital pun kurang. Semua faktor ini membantu mereka banyak melahirkan anak.Semuanya mengingatkan saya akan beberapa bulan lalu di negara tersendiri...

Tahun lepas November 2010 , saya hadir satu program yang ditaja oleh sebuah syarikat makanan bayi di Sepang. Perbincangan berkisar kepada tajuk kelahiran dan pengurusan tabiat anak.
Dalam banyak pembentangan tersebut, sala seorang pembentang yang dibawa khas dari Belgium telah membentangkan akan kerisauan dunia hari ini kepada situasai penurunan kadar kelahiran didunia semas ini.Katanya, tidak nampak tanda akan berlaku pemulihan dengan maksud tiada peningkatan pertumbuhan kadar kelahiran disemua negara. Bagi menghadapai keadaan ini, pihak Pengamal perubatan telah membuat keputusan untuk memberi hormon rangsangan kelahiran(progesterone) kepada mana-mana pasangan yang gagal mengandung selepas setahun berkahwin. Dulunya mereka akan membiarkan pasangan ini mengambil masa sehingga 3-5 tahun, sebelum diberi hormon ini. Rumusan yang saya dapat dari majlis ini ialah bagai mana mencari pasangan wanita yang subur dan, seorang lelaki mencari wanita yang subur.

Stastistik penguncupan Malaysia;

1957 -6.7% .
2000 -3.0%
2010 - 2.2%

Melayu 3.5%
Cina 2.5%
India 2.4%

Muslim birth rate falls, population to grow more slowly

Muslim boys greet each other after attending Aidhil Adha prayers in Bhopal December 9, 2008. — Reuters pic

PARIS, Jan 27 — Falling birth rates will slow the world’s Muslim population growth over the next two decades, reducing it on average from 2.2 per cent a year in 1990-2010 to 1.5 per cent a year from now until 2030, a new study says.

Muslims will number 2.2 billion by 2030 compared to 1.6 billion in 2010, making up 26.4 per cent of the world population compared to 23.4 per cent now, according to estimates by the Pew Forum on Religion and Public Life.

The report did not publish figures for worldwide populations of other major religions, but said the United States-based Pew Forum planned similar reports on growth prospects for worldwide Christianity, Hinduism, Buddhism, Sikhism and Judaism.

“The declining growth rate is due primarily to falling fertility rates in many Muslim-majority countries,” it said, noting the birth rate is falling as more Muslim women are educated, living standards rise and rural people move to cities.

“Globally, the Muslim population is forecast to grow at about twice the rate of the non-Muslim population over the next two decades — an average annual growth rate of 1.5 per cent for Muslims, compared with 0.7 per cent for non-Muslims,” it said.

The report, entitled The Future of the Global Muslim Population, was part of a Pew Forum program analysing religious change and its impact on societies around the world.

It said about 60 per cent of the world’s Muslims will live in the Asia-Pacific region in 2030, 20 per cent in the Middle East, 17.6 per cent in sub-Saharan Africa, 2.7 per cent in Europe and 0.5 per cent in the Americas.

Pakistan will overtake Indonesia as the world’s most numerous Muslim nation by 2030, it said, while the Muslim minority in mostly Hindu India will retain its global rank as the third largest Muslim population.

Continued migration will swell the ranks of Europe’s Muslim minorities by one-third by 2030, to 8 per cent of the region’s inhabitants from 6 per cent, it said.

Muslims in France will rise to 6.9 million, or 10.3 per cent of the population, from 4.7 million (7.5 per cent), in Britain to 5.6 million (8.2 per cent) from 2.9 million and in Germany to 5.5 million (7.1 per cent) from 4.1 million (5 per cent).

The Muslim share of the US population will grow from 0.8 per cent in 2010 to 1.7 per cent in 2030, “making Muslims roughly as numerous as Jews or Episcopalians are in the United States today,” the study said.

By 2030, Muslims will number 2.1 million or 23.2 per cent of the population in Israel — including Jerusalem but not the West Bank and Gaza — after 1.3 million (17.7 per cent) in 2010.

“The slowdown in Muslim population growth is most pronounced in the Asia-Pacific region, the Middle East-North Africa and Europe, and less sharp in sub-Saharan Africa,” it said, while migration will accelerate it in the Americas through 2020.

While Muslim populations worldwide are still younger on average than others, “the so-called “youth bulge” — the high percentage of Muslims in their teens and 20s — peaked around the year 2000 and is now declining,” the study said.

Sunni Muslims will continue to make up the overwhelming majority in Islam — about 87-90 per cent, the report estimated — while Shi’ite numbers may decline because of relatively low birth rates in Iran, where one-third of all Shi’ites live.

The study saw a close link between education and birth rates in Muslim-majority countries. Women in countries with the least education for girls had about five children while those where girls had the longest schooling averaged 2.3 children.

The study said it counted “all groups and individuals who self-identify as Muslims,” including secular or non-observant people, without measuring levels of religiosity.

It said measuring the impact of Islam on birth rates was difficult because “cultural, social, economic, political, historical and other factors may play equal or greater roles.” — Reuters